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Business Valuation
Business valuation is a mix of art and science. The bottom line is, of course, that a business is worth what a buyer will pay for it at a point in time. However, there are ways of estimating a fair price. Several of those methods are described in this section. There are variations of business valuations and there are other methods that apply to specific situations. It is not uncommon to value a business by a number of different methods and use a weighted average that gives more value to some methods over others..
Company Valuation Methods1. Basic Method (Quick Estimate)2. Rule of Thumb Company Valuation Methods 3. Capitalized Earning Approach 4. Excess Earning Method 5. Cash Flow Method 6. Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet) Method 7. Costs to Create Approach (Leapfrog Start Up) 8. Value of Specific Intangible Assets Note that there are a number of reasons for business valuations, other than buying or selling it. Businesses are valued for estate and tax purposes, divorce settlements, and for raising capital. In keeping with the purpose of this web site, all business valuation discussion here will be limited to valuing for buying and selling. Basic
Method Basic Method: For Example: Business “Ice Cream’s” which handles a national product and has a exclusive distributorship, produces $86,500 Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest, tax and depreciation (EBPITD). The plant and equipment is valued at $120,000. The stock on hand cost $45,000. The distributorship is transferable. Price of Business = $86,500 + $120,000 = $206,500 plus S.A.V $45,000 = total price $251,500 Rule of
Thumb Methods A Lawn Mowing Business is worth X’s dollars to Y’s dollars per regular customer plus equipment at fair market value. Another says that small news agencies are worth 100% of one year's gross income. The problem with these and all rule of thumb formulas is that they are statistically derived from the sale of many businesses of their type. That is, an organization might compile statistics on perhaps 100 small news agencies that were sold over a two-year period. They will then average all the selling prices and calculate that the average news agency sold for 100% of one year's gross income. The rule of thumb is thus created. However, some news agencies may have sold for twice one year's gross while other may have sold for half of one year's gross. The rule of thumb averages may be accurate for those businesses whose performances are on par with the average. The business with expenses and profits that are right on target with industry averages may well sell for a price in line with the rule of thumb formula. Others will vary. To apply the rule of thumb to a business that varies significantly from the average is not appropriate. Nevertheless, industry averages are a good quick and dirty starting point for valuation. Check with your industry associations) for rule of thumb formulas for selling or buying a business. Before taking the formula too seriously, though, check to see how closely your firm's financial performance stacks up to the industry averages. Sources to examine industry averages may also be available from your trade association's), business broker and accountant. Capitalized Earning Approach To demonstrate the capitalization method of valuation, let's look at a mythical and highly oversimplified business. Pretend the business is simply an amusement machine to which people put money. The magic amusement machine with a value of $120,000 has been collecting money at the rate of about $86,600 per year steadily for ten years with very little variation. It is likely to continue to collect money at this rate indefinitely. The only expense for this business is $100 per year rent charged by the landlord were it is located. So the business earns $86,500 per year ($86,600-$100). Because the amusement machine will continue to collect money indefinitely at the same rate and it’s magical, it retains its full value. The buyer should be able to sell it at any time and get his initial investment back. A buyer would look at this "minimum risk" business earning $86,500 and compare it to other ways of investing his or her money to earn $86,500 per year. A near no risk investment like a savings account or Bank bill might pay about 4% to 8% a year. At the 8% rate, for someone to earn the same $86,500 per year that the magic amusement machine earns, an investment of $1,081,250 ($1,081,250*8%= $86,500) would be required. Therefore, the amusement machine business value is in the area of $1,081,250. It is an equivalent investment in terms of risk and return to the savings account or bank bill except in the real business world you are taking a risk and you do need to receive or pay a wage to operate the business. Now the real world of business has no magic amusement machine and no "no risk" situations. Business owners take risks and have expenses, and business equipment can break down and usually does depreciate in value. The higher the perceived risk, the higher the capitalization rate (percentage) that the buyer will use to estimate value. With the exception of accommodation business like caravan parks and motel capitalization rates of 15% to 25% are common for medium to large businesses while capitalization rates of 20% to 50% are common for a small business calculations. That is, buyers will look for a return on their investment of 10% to 50% (depending on risk) in buying a business after a suitable wage is deducted from the EBPITD. At the 20% (low risk) rate, for someone to earn the same $86,500 per year that the magic amusement machine earns, an investment of $432,500 ($432,500*20%= $86,500) would be required. Therefore, the amusement machine business value is in the area of $432,500. Finally, it is important to point out that the above example does not include a fair salary for the new business owner. If the owner must devote time working to realize a profit, he or she must, in theory, be paid a fair value for that work. The owner's fair and reasonable salary must be separated from the return on investment computations. For example, if the magic amusement machine produced $86,500 per year but required a manager with a fair market salary of $30,000, the income for valuation purposes is $56,500, not $86,500. The fair market value for salary is the important number to use, not the actual salary to the current owner. If a wage of $30,000 (fair salary not the owners drawings) is deducted to run this business we are left with: $86,500 Net Profit (earnings before proprietor’s drawings, interest, tax and $30,000 Wage depreciation (EBPITD)). $56,500 divided by 20% = $282,500 being the business value.
The financially rational reason for owning business assets is to produce a financial return. Let's say that a reasonable return on Mr. Owner's Tangible Assets is 15% per year. A reasonable number here should be based on industry averages for return on assets adjusted to current economic conditions. For example, Mr. Owner or his advisors may have looked up industry standards for amusement machine shops and found that the current average return on assets was 14%. (An alternative approach to finding an industry appropriate return on asset figure is to use a rate 3 to 4 points above the current bank rate for a small business loan, or about 6 points above the current prime rate). So $18,000 of Mr. Owner's profits are derived from the tangible assets of the business ($120,000 x 15%= $18,000) The other $38,500 ($56,500-$18,000=$38,500) in earnings are the excess earnings). This $38,500 excess earning number is typically multiplied by a factor of 2 to 5, based on such factors as the level of risk involved in the business, the attractiveness of the business and the industry, competitiveness, and growth potential. The higher the factor used, the higher the estimate of the business will be. A typical number is 3. That is, a business that is judged to be very average in terms of the level of risk involved, the attractiveness of the business, the industry, competitiveness, and growth potential would use three as a multiplier. The actual factor used is a mix of opinion, comparison to others in the industry, and industry outlook. Let's suppose that Mr. Owner's business is better than average in these factors and assign a multiplier of 4. Therefore, the value of this business can be determined as follows: A. Fair market value of tangible equipment (plant & equipment) B. Total Earnings C. Earnings attributed to Tangible Assets ($120,000*15%) D. Excess Earnings ( B - C) ($56,500-$18,000=$38,500) E. Value of excess earnings (D X multiplier) ($38,500 x 4) F. Estimated Total Value (Tangible Assets plus value of excess
earnings) Cash Flow Method The adjusted net profit number is used as a benchmark to measure the firm's ability to service debt. If the adjusted cash flow is, for example, $100,000 and prevailing interest rates are 10%, and the buyer wants to amortize the loan over 5 years, the maximum a buyer is willing to pay for the firm would be about $253,000. This is the loan payment that $100,000 would support over 5 years. Tangible Assets (Balance Sheet)
Method Cost To Create Approach (Leapfrog
Start Up) Value of Specific Intangible
Assets For example, a temporary employment agency. Suppose the agency
specialized in placing trade’s people in coal mines
and other industries. By approaching firms in the same or
related businesses, it is calculated that recruiting a qualified
worker cost at least $200 for an agency. A common application of this method is the acquisition of a customer base. Customers with a high likelihood of being retained are valuable in most industries. Examples of industries where companies are bought and sold based upon the value of the customer base include insurance agencies, real-estate agencies (property management), advertising agencies, payroll services, and bookkeeping services. In practice the buyer will often ask for a credit for each customer that is not retained for a stated period of time. For example, a firm may offer $100 per customer, with a pro-rated credit for each customer that leaves during the twelve months following the closing of the sale. Pro-rating is based upon when the customer leaves-- if the customer leaves after 6 months, for example, half of the $100 would be returned to the seller. Conclusion |
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